Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.053843 0.063121 0.073474 0.085879 0.100334 0.116643 0.136441
2025-08-24 0.039116 0.051077 0.065873 0.085501 0.110843 0.142447 0.184862
2025-08-31 0.030290 0.042969 0.059945 0.084290 0.118276 0.164011 0.230238
2025-09-07 0.025371 0.038529 0.057326 0.086061 0.128815 0.190026 0.284312
2025-09-14 0.021139 0.034063 0.053598 0.085159 0.134786 0.209739 0.331510
2025-09-21 0.017653 0.030004 0.049639 0.082977 0.138051 0.225296 0.373926
2025-09-28 0.014850 0.026504 0.045910 0.080388 0.139971 0.238551 0.413906
2025-10-05 0.013383 0.024980 0.045125 0.082433 0.149610 0.265242 0.479171
2025-10-12 0.011949 0.023262 0.043713 0.083092 0.156782 0.288410 0.541046
2025-10-19 0.010690 0.021658 0.042245 0.083370 0.163173 0.310778 0.604033
2025-10-26 0.009739 0.020491 0.041402 0.084650 0.171501 0.337501 0.678203
2025-11-02 0.009054 0.019745 0.041251 0.087217 0.182567 0.370555 0.768414
2025-11-09 0.007865 0.017794 0.038473 0.084190 0.182227 0.381748 0.817483
2025-11-16 0.007076 0.016587 0.037068 0.083841 0.187393 0.404656 0.893630
2025-11-23 0.006321 0.015338 0.035392 0.082657 0.190580 0.423782 0.964108
2025-11-30 0.005878 0.014738 0.035057 0.084394 0.200390 0.458108 1.071854
2025-12-07 0.005306 0.013739 0.033671 0.083510 0.204098 0.479435 1.153025
2025-12-14 0.004725 0.012627 0.031865 0.081369 0.204559 0.493438 1.218967
2025-12-21 0.004192 0.011554 0.030004 0.078830 0.203702 0.504233 1.278574
2025-12-28 0.003957 0.011230 0.029957 0.080836 0.214340 0.543557 1.412354
2026-01-04 0.003677 0.010738 0.029413 0.081482 0.221603 0.575498 1.531632
2026-01-11 0.003407 0.010232 0.028762 0.081754 0.227924 0.605820 1.650494
2026-01-18 0.003202 0.009883 0.028486 0.083011 0.237038 0.644331 1.795485